Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 14.853067 16.752827 18.818885 21.235265 23.987187 27.027504 30.646300
2025-03-02 11.740727 14.186345 17.047391 20.651435 25.084332 30.376452 37.200095
2025-03-09 9.651079 12.391228 15.810840 20.414351 26.484099 34.260806 45.055356
2025-03-16 8.064030 10.936810 14.738266 20.176468 27.821632 38.282534 53.845384
2025-03-23 7.092249 10.120060 14.351176 20.759294 30.331349 44.276424 66.455153
2025-03-30 6.140818 9.174239 13.628202 20.735047 31.960973 49.295862 78.645689
2025-04-06 5.253147 8.180410 12.675598 20.197974 32.706362 53.090713 89.678782
2025-04-13 4.571009 7.396089 11.918379 19.829708 33.634328 57.305638 102.223010
2025-04-20 4.171135 7.002814 11.721384 20.340384 36.105934 64.528967 121.522880
2025-04-27 3.847512 6.687759 11.603414 20.958243 38.857842 72.720170 144.347781
2025-05-04 3.517146 6.312667 11.323664 21.230991 41.003769 80.144642 167.241632
2025-05-11 3.138012 5.797179 10.717209 20.787665 41.673908 84.774723 185.279587
2025-05-18 2.808773 5.340492 10.175442 20.422289 42.515437 90.071956 206.397728
2025-05-25 2.532762 4.950495 9.710514 20.143546 43.501780 95.895083 230.214121
2025-06-01 2.316716 4.651426 9.386481 20.112296 45.033014 103.254668 259.660182
2025-06-08 2.121030 4.368584 9.057619 20.019300 46.412125 110.547839 290.854983
2025-06-15 2.012314 4.254541 9.070443 20.701145 49.759460 123.329559 340.266402
2025-06-22 1.865046 4.037847 8.829588 20.750922 51.562334 132.576377 382.269486
2025-06-29 1.696054 3.751723 8.395171 20.264584 51.908107 138.051497 414.638119
2025-07-06 1.556383 3.515220 8.044213 19.930697 52.596369 144.611700 452.241516
2025-07-13 1.484211 3.427493 8.033759 20.470219 55.782947 158.998002 519.589879
2025-07-20 1.423078 3.358554 8.059735 21.111419 59.388748 175.451739 599.157549
2025-07-27 1.347740 3.245656 7.961621 21.400063 62.025362 189.543079 674.881816